Speech by Chief Secretary for Administration,
Mrs Anson Chan, at the Business Luncheon -
Hong Kong-USA '98, Miami

Friday, January 16, 1998


Hong Kong: New Era, New Opportunities

Thank you for those kind words of welcome.

It's the first time I have been to Miami and my immediate reaction is - why has it taken me so long! The weather, the coastline that seems to stretch forever, the parklands and the everglades, although on this occasion I won't get a chance to see them. When you think of Greater Miami covering more than 2,000 square miles, and Hong Kong just over 400 square miles, you can see why I won't have the opportunity to fully appreciate the extent of Miami's beauty. But while the relative size of our two communities are in stark contrast, we do share a common epithet - Gateway. You are the gateway to the Americas, we are the gateway to China. And in both vastly different regions there is also a common factor - the huge potential of their emerging markets.

Your strategic location and rapid development as a global business centre are two key elements we wish to tap in our first Hong Kong*USA promotion to be held in Miami and our first promotion since our change of sovereignty last July. I think this demonstrates the importance we place on developing closer ties with the United States, and Miami in particular.

For those of you who may not be so familiar with Hong Kong, or the extent of our two-way trade dealings with the US, I would like to say that the United States is our 2nd largest trading partner, 2nd largest market, and our 4th largest source of imports. In the first nine months of 1997, the value of trade between Hong Kong and the US totalled US$41.5 billion - that's 14.5 per cent of our overall trade and an increase of almost 4.5 per cent over the same period in 1996. In a full year, it's about the same as the total value of annual exports and imports you have through Florida.

Let me now turn to the main theme of my luncheon address -- the first six months of Hong Kong as a Special Administrative Region of China -- a milestone reached just a fortnight ago, on January the 1st. A milestone that did not attract the kind of attention the world's media gave to the six months leading up to the Handover back at the start of 1997. It hasn't attracted attention because the transition has proved to be not a headline-grabbing discontinuity, but a heartening continuity.

So seamless has the transition been, that to many people in Hong Kong and for those coming back to visit, there simply hasn't been any tangible change to the lifestyle, or in the way in which Hong Kong operates in its new role as a Special Administrative Region.

What is new then? The only visible difference is the flag and having a Chief Executive, not a Governor, heading the administration. What has changed for me? I'm still the Chief Secretary, and with only one exception, the senior policy secretaries are the same as those working with the former Governor. My duties and my daily routine remain the same. I chair the same government and business committee meetings, attend the weekly Executive Council meetings chaired by the Chief Executive. Then there's the usual pressure of day-to-day issues that any principal government official has to deal with.

I think the first six months could be summarised this way -- The key ingredients of our success story remain firmly rooted in Hong Kong. The rule of law continues to prevail and is being upheld. We have an independent judiciary and our own Court of Final Appeal. Hong Kong people's way of life is unchanged and we continue to enjoy the freedoms and rights guaranteed by the Sino-British Joint Declaration and the Basic Law, our mini-constitution. Political debates remain lively, demonstrations continue to be a natural part of everyday life; and if we as a government don't perform to expectations, then we certainly hear or read about it through the media, which remains as free and robust today as it did before June 30. Perhaps even more so.

The Civil Service remains apolitical, clean, and efficient. The Hong Kong Special Administrative Region Government runs its own affairs, and maintains a level playing field for businesses to compete without any interference from Beijing. Co-operation with our global and regional partners continues to develop and strengthen, as can be seen by the launch of our HK*USA '98 promotion, our active participation in the World Trade Organisation, in our contribution to the rescue package for the Thai baht, in the APEC Economic Leaders Meeting in Vancouver two months ago, and in the Asian Finance Ministers Meeting in Kuala Lumpur last month.

One very welcome development has come with regard to human rights. Many, both inside and outside Hong Kong, were concerned about the protection of these rights in the long term. I am very pleased that the PRC government, although not a signatory to the human rights covenants itself, has agreed that reports on human rights on Hong Kong will continue to be submitted to the monitoring bodies. Through this regular review and monitoring, we can give assurance that our well developed systems for upholding human rights will be maintained in the years ahead.

In a very real sense, it is very much "business as usual" in Hong Kong. But we live in unchain and unusual times and Hong Kong has found itself thrust into the epicentre of a financial and currency crisis, the likes of which the region has not witnessed in its post-war march to the front line of world economies. We have also been buffeted by a post Handover downturn in tourism and more recently by a bird 'flu scare which has attracted banner headlines here and throughout the world.

Let me begin with the most topical news - the bird 'flu. Firstly, it is not an epidemic as repeatedly stressed by the World Health Organisation. There have been 18 cases, of which 5 were fatal. Secondly, there is no concrete evidence yet so far that the 'flu is transmittable from human to human and according to the latest Centers for Disease Control and Prevention statement, even if it were so transferable, it is a very inefficient transmission. Thirdly, in recognising the potentially serious nature of the problem, our health authorities were extremely vigilant, and quick to call in the experts from the World Health Organisation and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in Atlanta, Georgia, to work alongside them in taking all the necessary measures. Some of these - like the culling of our entire chicken population - were quite unpleasant, but necessary. These measures, along with co-operation from the Mainland on chicken imports from China, stringent new checks and controls on poultry imports, and an overhaul of our own farm and market hygiene arrangements, have been taken to protect the health of the community and to restore consumer confidence.

Let me turn to the topic that is on everybody's lip - the regional financial turmoil. It is interesting to note that the turmoil did not impact on Wall Street, London or Europe until the Hong Kong market came under attack in October last year. World headlines proclaimed that Hong Kong had led a world-wide stock market tumble. Whatever the truth of that, it was certainly a tribute to Hong Kong that Wall Street caught a cold only when Hong Kong sneezed.

Any lingering doubts people might have had over China's commitment to allow Hong Kong to look after its own affairs, apart from defence and foreign relations, would have been dispelled by the way in which we were left alone to handle the crisis. China's leaders pledged full support to Hong Kong, but only if we asked for it.

China has shown a clear understanding that maintaining the position of the Hong Kong Dollar is the expression - in economic terms - of the substance of 'One Country Two Systems'. Equally, there is an understanding that for the Hong Kong Dollar to keep its position, it is vital that it continues to be supported not by political intervention, but by the sound fiscal and economic policies that are practised in Hong Kong.

You might have read or heard different analysts calling for an end to the link between the Hong Kong and US dollars. It is a debate that, almost like clockwork, is dusted off whenever there is the hint of financial problems or an attack on our currency. But, I can give you this assurance - the Hong Kong Dollar will not be de-linked.

De-linking would damage Hong Kong, and do further damage to the regional economy. It has been the stability of Hong Kong's currency since 1983, coupled with our greatly improved market regulation and supervision, that has enabled us to develop into one of the world's leading financial centres. Financial services have increased their contribution to our GDP by over 500% in the last decade and we are now the world's 4th largest banking centre and 6th largest securities centre. Most of the crossborder loans and deals in the world are made in US dollars. The stability of our currency against the dollar protects our businesses and financiers from exchange rate risk on those transactions.

As for our exporters, the idea that they can gain sustained advantage from competitive devaluation is ill-conceived. We first must import all our materials before we can export. Devalue and we will import inflation that will wipe out the hope of gain from lower export prices. Any devaluation would undermine public confidence and would have serious consequences for our financial, property and stock markets. It would do lasting damage to our economic prospects. Hong Kong is well able to maintain the value of its currency. The currency board system under which the link operates, is an automatic market mechanism, not a construct of political will. It has imposed sound financial discipline on both the government and the private sector. We keep public expenditure in line with economic growth. So we run budget surpluses, not deficits, and have reserves that are sufficient not just to back up our currency seven times over, but allow us to maintain substantial levels of investment in infrastructure, education and other programmes that will strengthen our economy in the years ahead. At the same time, we have managed to cut taxes. We have sound regulation of our banks, including high capital adequacy ratios which place them in a very strong position to cope with any difficulties caused by current problems in the region and in Hong Kong. Above all, we have credibility: credibility that comes from our record of prudent fiscal policies, sound financial regulation, open and transparent systems, a clean and efficient administration and from the underlying strength of our economy. These are the major differences between the way Hong Kong operates and those economies in the Asian region that are feeling the full impact of the current financial turmoil.

Of course this is an unsettling and painful period for many. The higher interest rates that are needed to fend off attacks on the currency do have an adverse impact on the stock and property markets, and affect those doing business or have a mortgage to repay. But it forces businessmen to upgrade the quality of their goods and seek higher productivity. It also enables the real economy to adjust through lower property prices and rental levels. This is putting home ownership back within reach of the people and is restoring competitiveness in our business costs. The nature of these market-driven adjustments to the Hong Kong economy bring short-term trauma, but not long-term chronic illness. If you look around elsewhere in the region, I think you must agree that Hong Kong is in better shape than most.

In short, the recent volatility in the market has not changed our policy of maintaining a free, open and transparent economy with sound regulatory controls, underpinned by the rule of law. And it has not shifted our determination to further enhance Hong Kong's role as a leading international financial centre.

While we are not immune from the economic meltdown in the region, our economy has continued to perform well. In the first six months of 1997/98, Gross Domestic Product grew by 6.3% in real terms. It slowed in the third quarter to an estimated 5%. But despite this decline and the obvious impact of the currency and market turmoil of the past few months, we are hopeful of achieving real economic growth of 5.5% for the year as a whole.

Our optimism in Hong Kong's future is based not on blind faith, but on a reasonable assessment of our opportunities and the trust we have in our free market system: trust that is grounded in long experience. And our reasoned optimism is shared by others. Last month we received two rather impressive report cards from influential third parties. The US Heritage Foundation Index of Economic Freedom for 1998 found Hong Kong, for the fourth consecutive year, to be the freest economy in the world. And the American Chamber of Commerce in Hong Kong - AmCham - one of the city's top business groupings, has given the thumbs up for the SAR's medium term outlook.

The Heritage Foundation Index gave Hong Kong top scores in all 10 key areas under assessment - trade policy, tax policy, government intervention, monetary policy, foreign investment, banking (we were described as having one of the world's most stable banking environments), wages and price controls, property rights, regulation, and the size of the black market. The study found that there is, and I quote: "little evidence that becoming part of China will alter Hong Kong's economic structure significantly. There continues to be little government interference in the market place; taxes remain low and predictable; increases in government spending are linked closely with economic growth; foreign trade still is free; and regulations, in addition to being transparent, continue to be applied both uniformly and consistently." End of quote.

The results of AmCham's annual business confidence survey are just as encouraging. They reflect a positive medium term outlook for Hong Kong's business environment even against the backdrop of recent economic turbulence in the region. The summary results noted "the high level of confidence is directly related to the smooth transition and political stability, sound economic fundamentals, and an overall improvement in Sino-American relations".

Over 96% of the survey respondents expressed a "very favourable" or "favourable" view of Hong Kong's business environment in the next five years. The maintenance of the rule of law and free flow of information ranked as the most important factors in assessing the SAR's future as a centre for international business and finance.

The latest figures we have, show that total American investment in Hong Kong now amounts to US$16 billion. Making us the second largest destination for US investment in Asia after Japan. And there are some 1,200 American companies operating out of Hong Kong: more than 400 of them with regional headquarters or offices there.

Despite the present turmoil, Hong Kong's position as the key international financial, trading and business centre of East Asia has been strengthened. Our political stability, sound economy and dependable currency, which is freely convertible, have provided a measure of certainty in a region now beset by uncertainties. And this is bolstered by the fact that we have the mainland of China as our economic hinterland -- an economy that grew by around nine per cent in real terms in 1997 and with little spill-over effect from the regional crisis. China is expected to grow by around 8% per annum up to 2000.

The attributes that have put us at the top of the East Asian region remain:

our geographical location, on China's doorstep and midway between Tokyo and Singapore;

our hard-working, flexible and well-educated work-force, combined with our enterprising and resourceful entrepreneurs;

our simple and low tax system, where no individual pays more than 15% on their salary and no company more than 16.5% on its profits;

our transport and communications infrastructure, which makes it easy to travel to and communicate with almost anywhere in the world; and

our accessible and predictable legal and judicial system, which ensures that the rule of law is upheld and that no one is above the law.

And we are continually improving on those attributes. Our new state-of-the-art airport will open on 6 July this year to carry us through well into the new millennium, perhaps continuing as the world's busiest for freight and 3rd busiest for international passengers. Further expansion of our container port, already the world's busiest, is under way. And we have just announced major expansions for our mass transit railway and conventional rail systems.

As one of the world's great cosmopolitan cities - a meeting place for East and West and where English remains the language of business - we are also upgrading our teaching methods to ensure our graduates have an even better command of both English and Chinese. This is essential if we are to maintain our competitive edge in the world. As part of this programme, we will be providing more than 700 additional native-speaking English teachers in secondary schools from this year.

But there is no denying we have had difficulties; and not simply on the economic front, or for that matter with the recent outbreak of "bird" 'flu. Political issues have also tested the administration with challenges to the legitimacy of the Provisional Legislative Council and other Government decisions. The important thing is that all legal challenges have been dealt with by Hong Kong's courts, using the same legal precedents and processes that have been long-established in Hong Kong and with their roots in the English common law system.

On our legislature front, we are preparing for elections for the first SAR Legislative Council, and then to elect one that is genuinely representative of the whole spectrum of public opinion, through a voting system that is fair, open and acceptable to the people of Hong Kong. These elections will be held on May 24 this year. The structure of the new Legco will be the same as that of the 1995 legislature - 20 directly elected members from geographical constituencies; 30 indirectly elected from functional constituencies; and 10 from an Election Committee.

The indirect elections in functional constituencies are pretty well unique to Hong Kong. They have drawn criticism from the time they were introduced under the British Administration in 1985. They remain, as then, a transitional arrangement. The Basic Law sets out a timetable for electoral development in Hong Kong that will see the number of directly elected seats steadily increased to 50% of the total by 2007. After that, it will be up to us to decide for ourselves how to take the electoral development forward to full universal suffrage.

There is one other matter that needs to be clarified. Time and again we are asked by people from overseas what is the effect of so many soldiers from the People's Liberation Army stationed in Hong Kong. Such a situation couldn't be further from reality.

Less than two months ago, Hong Kong's respected English language daily, the South China Morning Post, commenting editorially on the change of garrison personnel - something which occurred without fanfare - said the "ultra low profile adopted by the PLA since its arrival has exceeded all expectations". In fact, the paper went on to say that it would be in everyone's interest if the soldiers were allowed to see more of Hong Kong, provided they remained a background presence.

For most people, the only visible presence of the PLA are the two guards standing to attention at the entrance to the garrison's headquarters - the Prince of Wales Building (yes the name hasn't changed yet) on the Central waterfront.

The Hong Kong Police Force continues its most effective role in maintaining law and order in the streets, as well as ensuring the integrity of our border with the mainland. Hong Kong must be amongst one of the safest cities anywhere in the world. Our crime rate last year was the lowest in 24 years. Our border with the mainland remains intact. Just as it was before the Handover. The same immigration and customs laws apply. There hasn't been, and there won't be, any sudden influx of people from the mainland coming to Hong Kong.

Hong Kong people are proud to be once again a part of China. Four months ago, I visited Shanghai, my birth place which I have not seen since I left the place in 1948 - fifty years ago. No one who has witnessed the huge physical, human and social progress that has transformed Shanghai and so many other mainland provinces can doubt that China is truly moving with the times. Change has a momentum of its own which no one can reverse.

We look forward to part of an increasing open, prosperous and forceful China that will play a prominent role on the world stage to the benefit of China, and the rest of the world, America included.

We in Hong Kong are delighted that US/China relationship has now entered a more constructive phase. A good Sino-US relationship is crucially important for the entire world, not just for us in Hong Kong. And of course, Hong Kong's well being will be an important aspect of that relationship. I believe the world wants Hong Kong to succeed, because a successful Hong Kong is good for the world. We are an important player in the global village, and I can assure you that we will continue to play a vigorous and constructive role in the myriad of international organisations of which we are members in our own right: that's what a high degree of autonomy means in practice.

Thank you.