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Consumer Price Indices for November 2013
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     The Census and Statistics Department (C&SD) released today (December 23) the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures for November 2013. According to the Composite CPI, overall consumer prices rose by 4.3% in November 2013 over the same month a year earlier, same as that in October 2013. Netting out the effects of all Government's one-off relief measures, the year-on-year rate of increase in the Composite CPI (i.e. the underlying inflation rate) in November 2013 was 4.0%, also same as that in October 2013.

     On a seasonally adjusted basis, the average monthly rate of increase in the Composite CPI for the 3-month period from September to November 2013 was 1.2%, and that for the 3-month period from August to October 2013 was 0.4%. Netting out the effects of all Government's one-off relief measures, the average monthly rate of increase in the Composite CPI for the 3-month period from September to November 2013 was 0.4%, and that for the 3-month period from August to October 2013 was 0.3%.

     Analysed by sub-index, the year-on-year rates of increase in the CPI(A), CPI(B) and CPI(C) were 4.4%, 4.4% and 4.2% respectively in November 2013, which compared to 4.5%, 4.4% and 4.1% respectively in October. Netting out the effects of all Government's one-off relief measures, the year-on-year rates of increase in the CPI(A), CPI(B) and CPI(C) were 4.3%, 4.1% and 3.7% respectively in November 2013, which compared to 4.4%, 4.1% and 3.6% respectively in October.

     On a seasonally adjusted basis, for the 3-month period from September to November 2013, the average monthly rates of increase in the seasonally adjusted CPI(A), CPI(B) and CPI(C) were 2.6%, 0.7% and 0.4% respectively. The corresponding rates of increase for the 3-month period from August to October 2013 were 0.3%, 0.4% and 0.4%. Netting out the effects of all Government's one-off relief measures, the corresponding average monthly rates of increase in the seasonally adjusted CPI(A), CPI(B) and CPI(C) for the 3-month period from September to November 2013 were 0.3%, 0.4% and 0.4% respectively, and the corresponding rates of increase for the 3-month period from August to October 2013 were all 0.3%.

     Amongst the various CPI components, year-on-year increases in prices were recorded in November 2013 for electricity, gas and water (7.1% in the Composite CPI and 7.5% in the CPI(A)); housing (6.1% in the Composite CPI and 5.4% in the CPI(A)); food (excluding meals bought away from home) (4.5% in the Composite CPI and 4.8% in the CPI(A)); miscellaneous services (4.4% in the Composite CPI and 3.8% in the CPI(A)); meals bought away from home (4.3% in the Composite CPI and 4.5% in the CPI(A)); miscellaneous goods (2.8% in the Composite CPI and 4.4% in the CPI(A)); clothing and footwear (2.7% in the Composite CPI and 3.5% in the CPI(A)); transport (2.3% in both the Composite CPI and CPI(A)) and alcoholic drinks and tobacco (0.8% in both the Composite CPI and CPI(A)).

     On the other hand, year-on-year decrease in prices was recorded in November 2013 for durable goods (-4.0% in the Composite CPI and -3.7% in the CPI(A)).

     Taking the first eleven months of 2013 together, the Composite CPI rose by 4.3% over a year earlier. The corresponding increases in the CPI(A), CPI(B) and CPI(C) were 5.2%, 4.0% and 3.8%. Netting out the effects of all Government's one-off relief measures, the Composite CPI, CPI(A), CPI(B) and CPI(C) rose by 4.0%, 4.5%, 3.8% and 3.6% respectively in the first eleven months of 2013 over a year earlier.

     For the 3 months ended November 2013, the Composite CPI rose by 4.4% over a year earlier, while the CPI(A), CPI(B) and CPI(C) rose by 4.6%, 4.4% and 4.1% respectively. The corresponding increases after netting out the effects of all Government's one-off relief measures were 4.1%, 4.5%, 4.1% and 3.6% respectively.

     For the 12 months ended November 2013, the Composite CPI was on average 4.3% higher than in the preceding 12-month period. The respective increases in the CPI(A), CPI(B) and CPI(C) were 5.1%, 4.0% and 3.7%. The corresponding increases after netting out the effects of all Government's one-off relief measures were 4.0%, 4.5%, 3.8% and 3.6% respectively.

Commentary

     A Government spokesman said that underlying consumer price inflation held stable at 4.0% in November. The increases in prices for many components in the underlying Composite CPI remained moderate, with that for the private housing rental component easing slightly.

     The spokesman commented further that, looking ahead, the subdued imported inflation and the moderated increases in fresh-letting residential rentals since early 2013 should help to contain the upside risks to inflation in the near team. The Government will monitor the inflation situation closely, particularly its impact on the lower-income people.

Further information

     The CPIs and year-on-year rates of change at section level for November 2013 are shown in Table 1. The time series on the year-on-year rates of change in the CPIs before and after removing the effects of one-off measures are shown in Table 2. For discerning the latest trend in consumer prices, it is also useful to look at the changes in the seasonally adjusted CPIs. The corresponding time series on the average monthly rates of change during the latest 3 months for the seasonally adjusted CPIs are shown in Table 3. The rates of change in the original and the seasonally adjusted Composite CPI and the underlying inflation rate are presented graphically in Chart 1.

     More detailed CPI data (including year-on-year comparison, month-to-month comparison and seasonally adjusted data series) are available in the monthly reports. Users can download the November 2013 issue of the Monthly Report on the Consumer Price Index free of charge at the website of the C&SD (www.censtatd.gov.hk/hkstat/sub/sp270.jsp?productCode=B1060001).

     For enquiries about the CPIs, please contact the Consumer Price Index Section of the C&SD at telephone no. 2805 6403 or email address [email protected]

Ends/Monday, December 23, 2013
Issued at HKT 16:30

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