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The
relationship between the Mainland's and Hong Kong's financial
markets
The
financial systems of Hong Kong and the Mainland should work together
for the benefit of the country.
In a market
economy, there is usually a high degree of dependence on the market
to allocate scarce resources, to bring forth supply where there is
unsatisfied demand, to find the right balance between supply and
demand, to discover the market clearing price, and so on. The
market is usually quite dependable in performing these tasks
efficiently in a free environment without the involvement of the
authorities in regulating market activities or supervising the
behaviour of market participants. But where market freedom risks
leading to market distortions, either on the supply side or on the
demand side, that are not in the public interest, regulation and
supervision are justified. It is never easy to strike the right
balance between promoting market freedom and safeguarding the public
interest, where there is perceived to be conflict. Indeed public
opinion on this issue is never stable, swayed understandably by
events that are considered anomalous, often risking over-reaction
and therefore erosion of market freedom.
Hong Kong has
consistently been named the freest economy in the world. It is an
icon of market freedom. But, of course, that status does not imply
the absence of market intervention, in the form of regulation or
supervision, or indeed the involvement of the authorities in the
provision of certain goods and services. The financial markets are
a good example, where a measure of protection for investors and
depositors is considered essential, as in all other jurisdictions,
particularly those housing international financial centres. Even
there, much variation exists, at least in the weight of the
"supervisory touch", although supervisory standards have become
increasingly harmonised in markets that have become global.
It is
interesting, particularly from the perspective of Hong Kong, to
observe the process by which the functioning of the Mainland economy
is moving towards greater dependence on the market. The obvious
dilemma that efficient markets and bureaucrats do not co-exist well
is not easily resolved. It takes a lot of political skill and
courage to promote the sentiment of leaving things to the market and
trusting it to do a better job. But we are seeing impressive
progress, although from a free-market perspective the pace of
liberalisation is never quite fast enough. We see, for example, the
gradual liberalisation in the determination of interest rates,
although on this front it may still be some time before we see
complete liberalisation of deposit and lending rates through the
removal of the ceiling and floor currently determined by the
Peopleˇ¦s Bank of China. But it took Hong Kong almost ten years to
get rid of the Interest Rate Rules of the Hong Kong Association of
Banks. Time and patience are needed to allow the commercial banks
to practise conducting business predominantly on the basis of
commercial considerations.
One
fascinating area is the development of the capital market on the
Mainland. To achieve greater financial efficiency and stability,
there is an obvious need for diversified channels of financial
intermediation. The capital market provides an alternative to the
banking channel for financial intermediation, the two channels
having significantly different risk-return profiles that are
attractive to those who have money to save. While the capital
market, as an essential element of modern financial systems, is
something that many take for granted, readers should recall that it
is very much a feature of capitalism. For it to even exist in a
socialist economy, let alone play an important role in financial
intermediation, is history in the making; so is the creation of the
socialist-market economic model of development. We should therefore
not be too surprised to see the authorities being involved in many
aspects of the market that would be left to the market elsewhere.
Also, it is probably inevitable for the authorities to play a bigger
role in development and regulation in an emerging market than would
be the case in a developed and mature market.
But this does
not necessarily mean that these markets are run less efficiently
than they would otherwise be. For one thing, the role of the
authorities partly reflects the conditions of the economy that such
markets serve, such as the ownership structure and the stage of
development noted above. Also, whether in an emerging or developed
market, there are always potential conflicts between private and
public interests that may affect the functioning of the market.
Frankly, there are examples of markets, even in developed capital
markets in capitalist economies, being run more in the interest of
the financial intermediaries running them than in the public
interest of efficient financial intermediation. In general, the
authorities face a difficult task of striking a balance between
allowing maximum market freedom and preventing public interest being
affected by market distortions. Regrettably, however, whether it is
in the socialist-market economy of the Mainland or the capitalist
free-market economy of Hong Kong, in the public sector or in the
private sector, I sense a risk of inadequate appreciation of the
wider public interest by those involved in the financial system, in
whatever capacity. In the financial area, the public interest of
course lies in the efficiency of financial intermediation and the
stability of the financial system of the whole country. To achieve
this, we should guard against a situation where the two financial
systems of our country might adopt too competitive a stance towards
each other. The financial systems of the Mainland and Hong Kong
should work to further develop a mutually-assisting, complementary
and inter-active relationship, as the Premier urged in the National
Finance Working Meeting earlier this year.
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Joseph Yam
28 June 2007
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