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Hong Kong Foreign
Exchange and Money Market Practices Committee
Conference on
Challenges and Opportunities in the New Century
22 November 2001
Opening Remarks
Joseph Yam, JP, Chief
Executive, Hong Kong Monetary Authority
I am delighted to welcome all of you to today’s conference on
‘Challenges and Opportunities in the New Century’. This is
something of a landmark, being the first major conference ever
staged by Hong Kong’s Foreign Exchange and Money Market Practices
Committee.
You don’t need me to tell you
that there are a number of challenges facing your markets at
present: the introduction of the euro and the consolidation in the
banking industry have been reducing trading volumes; traditional
market infrastructures are being supplemented and challenged by the
emergence of new electronic trading platforms; and the general
macroeconomic climate is not particularly comfortable for anyone at
present. Today’s programme covers these and other issues, ranging
from the broader economic and financial trends affecting the markets
to some narrower but no less important technical aspects.
The programme was being prepared
long before 11 September hit us, but perhaps I could use this brief
slot in your timetable to say a few words about that.
As we recover from the shock and
devastation of those terrible events, and absorb the consequences,
we can perhaps reflect with some relief and satisfaction on the
resilience displayed by financial markets and institutions, both in
the United States and further afield.
Of course, prices in
markets – more so, understandably, in equity markets than
elsewhere – reacted quickly to the events and to subsequent policy
measures. Such adjustment is the proper function of markets, taking
new information efficiently on board.
But the markets themselves
continued on the whole to operate well, despite major physical
disruptions and, in some cases, human tragedies. True, there were
some delays in settlements, some markets were closed for one or more
days, and there was an understandable contraction in business
volumes. Yet there were no serious or lasting failures of markets or
institutions that threatened overall systemic stability.
Was this simply good
luck? I don’t think so. Rather it reflected the fact that very
deliberate steps have been taken in the financial world over a
period of many years to try to ensure that institutions and
infrastructures are able to cope with the unexpected. Let me list
four particular factors to illustrate this point in relation to the
foreign exchange and money markets.
First, I would mention general
confidence in the soundness of the major market players. I do not
mean by this that all the banks are necessarily free from problems
and totally above reproach. But, notably since the LTCM crisis,
which provoked some greater attention to liquidity management, risk
management and so on, I sense that the authorities are now perceived
as being closer up with the game and the banks themselves as better
prepared to cope with shocks. Thus, in the context of 11 September,
such limited increases in credit exposures as may have arisen
because of settlement delays did not provoke any serious panic.
This was helped by the second
factor which I want to note. That was the readiness of the
authorities in different centres after 11 September to quickly make
assurances about the availability of liquidity to their respective
banking systems. Extra liquidity may have been needed to cover
actual delays in the mechanics of settlement or simply to balance
the precautionary hoarding of liquidity by some players. Whatever
the precise reason, the fact that the authorities pledged support
was instrumental in keeping the wheels moving – and probably in
limiting the actual call on the facilities which were offered.
Third, systems and backup
facilities demonstrated remarkable robustness in the face of the
disaster. There were of course a few hiccups but, generally
speaking, business kept going, even in those institutions most
seriously affected in physical terms. I believe that the ability to
cope in September was in no small part due to the huge efforts put
into contingency planning ahead of Y2K. I recall that, once the
smooth and trouble-free transition to the year 2000 was complete,
there were voices questioning whether so much time and money need
have been devoted to that exercise, but it now appears to have
actively served us well. However, although this is a source of some
satisfaction, it should not be a reason for complacency. We have
witnessed a fundamental change in the nature of terror and potential
breakdown, and we may, going forward, need to review contingency
plans accordingly.
Last but by no means least, we
have to pay tribute to the work of committees such as the Market
Practices Committee here and similar organisations in other centres,
and to the people who actually operate the markets. The smooth
functioning of the markets and the ability to deal with disruptions
owe much to the painstaking efforts which have been made over the
years to develop and agree operational guidelines, codes of conduct
and the like, both of international application and to address local
idiosyncracies (such as, in our case here in Hong Kong,
interruptions on account of typhoons). These committees and other
bodies have served the crucial role of ensuring that market
practices are essentially practitioner-driven, while acting also as
a mutually beneficial bridge between the practitioners and the
authorities. The guidelines and codes which have emerged provide,
among many other things, recommended contingency procedures which
are invaluable whenever something unusual does occur.
The capacity to cope with the
unforeseen also owes much to personal contacts and to the trust
which exists between market participants. Even in the third or
fourth decade of the electronic age, this human element is still a
very significant ingredient.
In that latter context
particularly, a conference of this nature can play an important
role. I should like to welcome especially those who have come to
join us from outside Hong Kong. These are not the easiest of times
for deciding to travel the world. But before any of you are tempted
to draw mistaken conclusions from the observed shortage of Americans
here today, I know that the Committee would wish me to pass on its
apologies for having scheduled this event on Thanksgiving Day. As
with all such conferences, I understand that it was necessary to
juggle various permutations of the availability of different people
and venues, and it turned out that today would be the least awkward
for the largest number of potential participants – but that did
not of course prevent it from being the most awkward for some!
I wish our American friends a
joyful Thanksgiving, and I wish all of you here today a productive
and enjoyable conference.
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